Domain review

Infrastructure

Strained

Measures whether physical and digital systems can support the country.

Domain score
37/100
4pts
12-month movement4 pts
~3-year movement(20232026)+19 pts
Data confidenceMedium0.775 component metrics

Infrastructure is currently rated Strained. The domain score is driven primarily by Rail cancellations (GB), Industrial electricity price premium and Local road condition (England). Data confidence is medium across its component metrics.

Component indicators

Infrastructure — Metrics

Industrial electricity price premium

VerifiedOfficial
63% above IEA median industrial price

2024

58
Stress
Fragile
50
Trend
stable
80%
Confidence
Medium0.80

Verified official value from DESNZ (UK industrial electricity premium vs IEA median), accessed 2026-06-13.

Grid connection queue delay

SeedAdministrative
7.54median years to connection offer

2025

36
Stress
Strained
0
Trend
improving
60%
Confidence
Low0.60
9pts

Seed value. Demonstration dataset. This build uses seed data to demonstrate the model. Do not cite figures until official source ingestion is complete.

Rail cancellations (GB)

VerifiedOfficial
4.1% trains cancelled or part-cancelled

2024–25

62
Stress
Fragile
100
Trend
deteriorating
85%
Confidence
High0.85
+21pts

Verified official value from ORR (trains cancelled, GB), accessed 2026-06-13.

Local road condition (England)

VerifiedOfficial
17% local roads needing maintenance consideration

To Mar 2025

37
Stress
Strained
50
Trend
stable
70%
Confidence
Medium0.70

Verified official value from DfT (local roads needing maintenance (unclassified), England), accessed 2026-06-13.

Gigabit broadband coverage

VerifiedOfficial
87% of premises with gigabit-capable broadband

2025

27
Stress
Strained
32
Trend
improving
90%
Confidence
High0.90
+4pts

Verified official value from Ofcom (ofcom_connected_nations), accessed 2026-06-14.

Historical values

Historical values

Industrial electricity price premium

Latest

63% above IEA median industrial price

Industrial electricity price premium% above IEA median industrial price — reported values, not stress scores.

Historical values

Grid connection queue delay

Latest

7.54median years to connection offer

Grid connection queue delaymedian years to connection offer — reported values, not stress scores.

Historical values

Rail cancellations (GB)

Latest

4.1% trains cancelled or part-cancelled

Rail cancellations (GB)% trains cancelled or part-cancelled — reported values, not stress scores.

Historical values

Local road condition (England)

Latest

17% local roads needing maintenance consideration

Local road condition (England)% local roads needing maintenance consideration — reported values, not stress scores.

Historical values

Gigabit broadband coverage

Latest

87% of premises with gigabit-capable broadband

Gigabit broadband coverage% of premises with gigabit-capable broadband — reported values, not stress scores.

Data provenance

Sources for this domain

OrganisationDatasetTypeFrequencyLink
Department for Energy Security and Net ZeroEnergy price statistics incl. international comparisonsOfficialQuarterly/AnnualSource ↗
National Energy System OperatorTransmission connections queue dataAdministrativePeriodicSource ↗
Office of Rail and RoadPassenger rail performanceOfficialQuarterlySource ↗
Department for TransportRoad conditions in EnglandOfficialAnnualSource ↗
OfcomConnected Nations (broadband and mobile coverage)OfficialAnnualSource ↗

How the Infrastructure domain is scored

The domain score is the median of the 5 component metric stress scores. Using the median reduces sensitivity to a single anomalous metric.

Each metric stress score is calculated as:

metric_stress = clamp(0.6 × level_score + 0.3 × trend_score + 0.1 × volatility_score, 0, 100)

The Infrastructure domain carries a weight of 3% in the national index. Full methodology: methodology page.

Sensitivity analysis

What would move this domain?

The Infrastructure domain score is most sensitive to its two highest-stress indicators. Meaningful improvement in either of the following metrics would be the most direct path to improving the domain score:

  • 62

    Rail cancellations (GB)

    Percentage of scheduled trains in Great Britain that were cancelled or part-cancelled, measuring the reliability of the national rail network.

  • 58

    Industrial electricity price premium

    UK industrial electricity price as a percentage above the IEA median for comparable industrial economies, measuring competitive disadvantage from energy costs.