UK Societal Resilience · June 2026
A single measured reading across eleven national systems. The United Kingdom is fragile, and has held steady since the previous release.
Confidence Medium · 66 of 68 indicators verified
Release movements
What changed this release
Key deteriorations
| Metric | Domain | Score | Movement | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraud incidents (CSEW) | Rule of Law and Safety | 83 | +67 pts | 0.75 |
| Drug-poisoning deaths | Population Health | 93 | +42 pts | 0.90 |
| Rent to income ratio | Housing and Household Formation | 52 | +36 pts | 0.80 |
| Suicide rate | Population Health | 91 | +29 pts | 0.85 |
| EHC plan timeliness | Childhood and Social Floor | 90 | +22 pts | 0.85 |
Key improvements
| Metric | Domain | Score | Movement | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public sector net borrowing | Fiscal Resilience | 31 | −41 pts | 0.90 |
| Current budget deficit | Fiscal Resilience | 30 | −34 pts | 0.85 |
| Headroom against fiscal rules | Fiscal Resilience | 32 | −33 pts | 0.70 |
| Business births minus closures | Work and Productivity | 22 | −26 pts | 0.80 |
| Economic inactivity rate (16–64) | Work and Productivity | 15 | −24 pts | 0.80 |
11 systems · measured
Each national system, on one scale
Weighting
What drives the headline figure
The headline is a weighted reading across all systems. This shows which carry the most weight once their stress score and domain weight are combined.
Historical trajectory
National stress, 2010–present
National trajectory
British Society Stress Index — Historical Trend
Current
52Level-only modelled trajectory from verified official statistics — all nine domains are covered from 2018 (sparser before 2015). Each year's published values are re-scored on today's scale: it shows where stress sat, not a live historical index, and the current headline additionally reflects short-term trend and volatility, so it can differ from the final plotted point. COVID-era stress appears mainly from 2021, as the waiting-list, housing and court pressures it triggered entered the annual statistics with a lag.
Systemic risk
Systemic Risk Penalty
No systemic risk penalty applied this release — fewer than three domains are in the Critical band. The penalty activates when three or more domains simultaneously reach Critical (+5 pts) or Near Midnight (+10 pts), reflecting the increased probability that concurrent failures become self-reinforcing.
Partial live data
Live data coverage — 66 of 68 metrics from verified official sources; the rest are clearly-labelled seed data. Do not cite seed figures as final statistics.