Regional view
Wales Dashboard
UK Societal Resilience · October 2026
A stress reading from 0 to 100. Higher means more stress; 0 is calm, 100 is the most severe reading the scale describes.
robust range 44–51 under alternative methods
A single measured reading across eleven national systems. The United Kingdom is fragile, and has risen 1 point since the previous release.
Medium · 52 of 54 indicators verified
Release movements
What changed this release
Since the September 2026 release
17 of 52 comparable indicators had a real change in their inputs since the September 2026 release.
- New observations
- 12
- the publisher released a later period
- Revised values
- 5
- the same period, a changed figure
- Restated series
- 8
- an earlier point in the history changed
- Changed sources
- 11
- a different series, provider or link
- Normalisation changes
- 0
- scored against fixed bounds instead of own history, or the reverse
An indicator can appear in more than one category. Counts cover scored indicators present in both releases.
Key deteriorations
| Metric | Domain | Score | Movement | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy bill affordability pressurenew observation, history restated, source changed | Living Standards | 66 | +35 pts | 0.70 |
| Trust in national governmentnew observation, source changed | Trust and Wellbeing | 78 | +31 pts | 0.70 |
| Prison capacity utilisation (E&W)new observation | Rule of Law and Safety | 61 | +11 pts | 0.95 |
| NHS Wales pathways waiting over 36 weeksnew observation, source changed | Public Service Capacity | 26 | +9 pts | 0.90 |
| Anxietynew observation, source changed | Trust and Wellbeing | 80 | +7 pts | 0.85 |
Change since the September 2026 release. Only indicators whose inputs changed since that release are listed: a new observation, a revised value, a restated series or a changed source.
Key improvements
| Metric | Domain | Score | Movement | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chronic lonelinessnew observation, source changed | Trust and Wellbeing | 17 | −44 pts | 0.75 |
| Rail cancellations (GB)new observation, source changed | Infrastructure | 24 | −39 pts | 0.85 |
| Public sector net investmentvalue revised, history restated | Fiscal Resilience | 16 | −14 pts | 0.85 |
| Crown Court outstanding caseload (E&W)new observation, history restated, source changed | Public Service Capacity | 81 | −3 pts | 0.90 |
| Real average weekly earnings growthvalue revised, history restated | Living Standards | 28 | −2 pts | 0.85 |
Change since the September 2026 release. Only indicators whose inputs changed since that release are listed: a new observation, a revised value, a restated series or a changed source.
Scores are stress readings out of 100; higher means more stress. Most indicators update annually or quarterly, so a large movement usually marks a new official release entering the index, not a change that happened within the month.
Wales · measured
11 systems under review, Wales
Each figure is a stress score from 0 to 100. Higher means more stress, so the most stressed systems sit at the top.
Rows link to the UK-level detail page (per-region detail is a later phase). Scores shown are Wales-specific.
The tick beside each score is its movement since the September 2026 release.
Weighting
What drives the headline figure
The headline is a weighted reading across all systems. This shows which carry the most weight once their stress score and domain weight are combined.
Historical trajectory
Wales stress over time
National trajectory
British Resilience Index · Historical Trend
Current
50Level-only modelled trajectory from verified official statistics; all 11 domains in this view are covered from 2018 (sparser before 2015). Each year's published values are re-scored on today's scale: it shows where stress sat, not a live historical index, and the current headline additionally reflects short-term trend, so it can differ from the final plotted point. COVID-era stress appears mainly from 2021, as the waiting-list, housing and court pressures it triggered entered the annual statistics with a lag.
Concurrent stress
Domains at extreme stress
One domain is scoring 75 or above in this release. This is reported as a signal and does not change the national score. The index measures each domain separately and holds no model of how a failure in one would propagate to another, so it cannot say what concurrent strain costs; it can only say that it is present.
Domains at or above 75
The monthly reading
Follow the number over time
A single reading is a snapshot. The value is in the direction of travel. Once a month we send the new national score, what moved, and the sharpest findings from the data, with every figure traceable to its official source.
Data provenance
52 of 54 indicators are drawn from verified official sources, each labelled on its metric card. The remaining 2 are provisional placeholders, marked as seed where they appear, because no clean official figure is published yet; placeholders are shown for transparency and are excluded from all scoring.