Regional view

Northern Ireland Dashboard

UK Societal Resilience · August 2026

55/100Fragileworsened 1 point since July

A stress reading from 0 to 100. Higher means more stress; 0 is calm, 100 is crisis.

robust range 4855 under alternative methods

A single measured reading across eleven national systems. The United Kingdom is fragile, and has risen 1 point since the previous release.

Medium · 41 of 42 indicators verified

Release movements

What changed this release

Key deteriorations

MetricDomainScoreMovementConfidence
Zero-hours contractsWork and Productivity86+21pts0.75
Unemployment rate (16+)Work and Productivity67+20pts0.90
Public sector net investmentFiscal Resilience37+13pts0.85
NI children in careChildhood and Social Floor76+10pts0.85
NI households in temporary accommodationHousing and Household Formation86+9pts0.85

Key improvements

MetricDomainScoreMovementConfidence
NI new dwellings completedHousing and Household Formation3742pts0.80
Public sector net borrowingFiscal Resilience3141pts0.90
Current budget deficitFiscal Resilience3034pts0.85
Headroom against fiscal rulesFiscal Resilience3233pts0.70
Business births minus closuresWork and Productivity2226pts0.80

Scores are stress readings out of 100; higher means more stress. Most indicators update annually or quarterly, so a large movement usually marks a new official release entering the index, not a change that happened within the month.

Northern Ireland · measured

11 systems under review, Northern Ireland

Each figure is a stress score from 0 to 100. Higher means more stress, so the most stressed systems sit at the top.

Rows link to the UK-level detail page (per-region detail is a later phase). Scores shown are Northern Ireland-specific.

Weighting

What drives the headline figure

The headline is a weighted reading across all systems. This shows which carry the most weight once their stress score and domain weight are combined.

Housing and Household Formation9.3 pt
Public Service Capacity9.2 pt
Population Health8.0 pt
Childhood and Social Floor6.8 pt
Rule of Law and Safety5.2 pt
Living Standards4.4 pt
Trust and Wellbeing3.1 pt
Work and Productivity3.0 pt
Fiscal Resilience2.4 pt
Environment and Climate1.7 pt
Infrastructure1.3 pt

Historical trajectory

Northern Ireland stress over time

No trend data available.

Systemic risk

Systemic Risk Penalty

None applied

No systemic risk penalty applied this release; fewer than three domains are in the Critical band. The penalty activates when three or more domains simultaneously reach Critical (+5 pts) or Crisis (+10 pts), reflecting the increased probability that concurrent failures become self-reinforcing.

The monthly reading

Follow the number over time

A single reading is a snapshot. The value is in the direction of travel. Once a month we send the new national score, what moved, and the sharpest findings from the data, with every figure traceable to its official source.

One email a month when the index updates, plus The Quarterly Record four times a year. No advertising, and your address is never sold or shared. Unsubscribe in one click.

Data provenance

41 of 42 indicators are drawn from verified official sources, each labelled on its metric card. The remaining 1 is a provisional placeholder, marked as seed where they appear, because no clean official figure is published yet; placeholders are shown for transparency and are excluded from all scoring.