Domain review

Population Health

Critical

Measures whether the population is actually getting healthier or sicker — health outcomes, not service throughput.

Domain score
82/100
+30pts
12-month movement+30 pts
~3-year movement(20212024)20 pts
Data confidenceMedium0.824 component metrics

Population Health is currently rated Critical. The domain score is driven primarily by Drug-poisoning deaths, Suicide rate and Common mental-health condition prevalence. Data confidence is medium across its component metrics.

Component indicators

Population Health — Metrics

Drug-poisoning deaths

VerifiedOfficial
93.9deaths per million population (age-standardised)

2024

93
Stress
Near Midnight
100
Trend
deteriorating
90%
Confidence
High0.90
+42pts

Verified official value from Office for National Statistics (ons_drug_poisoning), accessed 2026-06-14.

Suicide rate

VerifiedOfficial
11.4age-standardised deaths per 100,000

2024

91
Stress
Near Midnight
98
Trend
deteriorating
85%
Confidence
High0.85
+29pts

Verified official value from Office for National Statistics (ons_suicides), accessed 2026-06-14.

Avoidable mortality

VerifiedOfficial
228age-standardised rate per 100,000

2024

33
Stress
Strained
29
Trend
improving
80%
Confidence
Medium0.80
17pts

Verified official value from Office for National Statistics (ons_avoidable_mortality), accessed 2026-06-14.

Common mental-health condition prevalence

VerifiedOfficial
20.4% of adults aged 16-64

2023/24

73
Stress
Fragile
100
Trend
deteriorating
75%
Confidence
Medium0.75
+19pts

Verified official value from NHS England / NatCen (nhse_apms), accessed 2026-06-14.

Historical values

Historical values

Drug-poisoning deaths

Latest

93.9deaths per million population (age-standardised)

Drug-poisoning deathsdeaths per million population (age-standardised) — reported values, not stress scores.

Historical values

Suicide rate

Latest

11.4age-standardised deaths per 100,000

Suicide rateage-standardised deaths per 100,000 — reported values, not stress scores.

Historical values

Avoidable mortality

Latest

228age-standardised rate per 100,000

Avoidable mortalityage-standardised rate per 100,000 — reported values, not stress scores.

Historical values

Common mental-health condition prevalence

Latest

20.4% of adults aged 16-64

Common mental-health condition prevalence% of adults aged 16-64 — reported values, not stress scores.

Data provenance

Sources for this domain

OrganisationDatasetTypeFrequencyLink
Office for National StatisticsDeaths related to drug poisoning in England and WalesOfficialAnnualSource ↗
Office for National StatisticsSuicides in England and WalesOfficialAnnualSource ↗
Office for National StatisticsAvoidable mortality in England and WalesOfficialAnnualSource ↗
NHS England / NatCenAdult Psychiatric Morbidity SurveyOfficialPeriodic (~7-yearly)Source ↗

How the Population Health domain is scored

The domain score is the median of the 4 component metric stress scores. Using the median reduces sensitivity to a single anomalous metric.

Each metric stress score is calculated as:

metric_stress = clamp(0.6 × level_score + 0.3 × trend_score + 0.1 × volatility_score, 0, 100)

The Population Health domain carries a weight of 12% in the national index. Full methodology: methodology page.

Sensitivity analysis

What would move this domain?

The Population Health domain score is most sensitive to its two highest-stress indicators. Meaningful improvement in either of the following metrics would be the most direct path to improving the domain score:

  • 93

    Drug-poisoning deaths

    Age-standardised rate of deaths related to drug poisoning, a direct measure of the most acute end of population health and social distress.

  • 91

    Suicide rate

    Age-standardised suicide rate, a core indicator of acute population distress.